WDW Weather Forecast - October 31-Nov 16, 2009

[Running_Bell]

Thank you... I will wait and see..... my DH would laugh at that thought.

[Dsnygirl]

Chris, another question re: the cold front (actually, any big cold front hitting FL, really...) -- is a big cold front always precipitated by some serious rain moving through (no pun intended... ) or can it arrive w/o a storm? Happens both ways up here, so just wondering if the front you're expecting to hit later this month will bring some serious rains with it, or maybe not...

[Strmchsr]

Chris, another question re: the cold front (actually, any big cold front hitting FL, really...) -- is a big cold front always precipitated by some serious rain moving through (no pun intended... ) or can it arrive w/o a storm? Happens both ways up here, so just wondering if the front you're expecting to hit later this month will bring some serious rains with it, or maybe not...

Good question. And, yes, they can sometimes push through without much of a rain event. It depends how much moisture is available when the front pushes through. I've seen several fronts push through Orlando with little to no rain. Right now the majority of the models are showing the Gulf wide open and plenty of moisture available for this front later this month, which would means a good rain event. However, keep in mind that the normal pattern for Florida means an intense squall line that lasts less than an hour followed by 2-3 hours of gentler rain. We'll see if that "normal" pattern follows in this case. Meteorologically speaking this is still a long way off.

[Strmchsr]

Love the info. I'll be watching this thread and your updates daily... ok, i'm a liar. I'll be watching like every 2-3 hours!

Lol, well, in general I only update once a day unless someone has specific questions, but you can keep checking.

[disneykid@hrt]

Thanks for talking to The Boss for us. Things are looking better for next week!

[Dsnygirl]

Chris, my trip may still be in voodooland right now, but I'm liking what I'm seeing so far!!

[mudpuppysmom]

Hey Chris == what happened to the "good word" you were putting in with the big guy.....I know it rains every day in Florida somewhere, but can't it rain in Miami this Friday and not Orlando!?!?!? haaaahhaaaaahaaaahaaaaa!!! I guess we'll be donning our ponchos and wading thru AK this Friday! It couldn't have been on Thursday when we are planning a waterpark day now could it?!?!? Oh well......we're going to be warmer than we are at home!

[Strmchsr]

Hey Chris == what happened to the "good word" you were putting in with the big guy.....

I sent the memo, but the Boss doesn't always follow my advice. Don't worry too much, though, I don't think it'll be an all day rain. Timing is still a little iffy, but the current models are showing the rain hitting Orlando late in the afternoon so you should be good most of the day. In fact, it's possible it might not even hit until after AK closing. I know you'll have a good time no matter what, but here's hoping it holds off a little for you.

[Jennifer_and_Chris]

Not as hot as we thought it was going to be... but, mid 70-80's next week sound great! We just may not be taking the kids to swim as much as we thought!

[Strmchsr]

Not as hot as we thought it was going to be... but, mid 70-80's next week sound great! We just may not be taking the kids to swim as much as we thought!

Keep in mind that the pools are all heated, so it should be plenty comfortable enough to swim as long as you don't get too cold walking to and from the room.

[Jennifer_and_Chris]

Keep in mind that the pools are all heated, so it should be plenty comfortable enough to swim as long as you don't get too cold walking to and from the room.

Well, we're from Michigan... so, we'll be swimming no matter what! We went to WDW in January one year. It was one of those pretty cold nights for Florida... about 50... you could see the steam rising from the pool. There we were... 6 crazzies with winter coats over our bathing suits. But, we swam and we loved it. It was freezing running back to the villa. But, we weren't coming home without saying that we got to swim in January!

[Jennifer_and_Chris]

Keep the good news coming!! We are leaving in 3 days and will be arriving in the World in 4!!!

Weather sounds great!

[Dsnygirl]

Keep the good news coming!! We are leaving in 3 days and will be arriving in the World in 4!!!

Weather sounds great!

(although we still have a week to wait, and are still mostly in voodooland... )

[Dsnygirl]

Yikes... I've got to learn to keep my "yippees" to myself... the last two times I've cheered the forecast, the next forecast has had rain added to it!! This time, it's the "massive front" on the 27th... that'd be bad, bad, bad, as it's our MNSSHP night! I'm going to just cross my fingers and hope that the front changes... I'll take it any evening but that one!! (Of course, then it'd probably mess up somebody else's plans... sorry!! )

Here's to believing in the changeable power of voodooland....

[Strmchsr]

Here's to believing in the changeable power of voodooland....

That's the one thing you can always depend on with voodooland...it always changes.

[BiloxiMom]

Seriously???!!! I know it's voodooland.. but really?? We switched our trip from Jan. to Nov. thinking we would get away from those cold, rainy days and you're telling me the possibility is there that it will rain and turn cold? Seriously??! In Nov.?? We're there from 11/1--11/8. We can't win on the weather department! Make it go away, please!

[Strmchsr]

We can't win on the weather department! Make it go away, please!

Like I told some of the others...I'll be glad to send the Boss a memo for you, but no promises. Just don't shoot the messenger!

Seriously, though, it is voodooland so don't panic too much just yet. That said, it is keeping in line with the general pattern I spoke about back in the summer, which is for a cooler/wetter fall (last week's aberration aside). Hopefully it won't be too bad for you and I promise to give you the best guess I can either way so you'll be prepared.

[Jennifer_and_Chris]

Thank you for the great report. We'll be leaving in less than 10 hours for our 2 day road trip to the World.

We're going to the MNSSHP on Thursday night and it sounds great! A possible shower we can deal with, 60 in the evenings we can definitly deal with and mid 70's to mid 80's sounds like heaven to us. Right now it is in the upper 30's. Can't wait, we love evenings in jeans and sweatshirts and days with shorts and a t-shirt. Sounds like its exactly what we're hoping for.

Can't hardly wait...

[Dsnygirl]

So, we leave Thursday, and it's looking more like shorts & tank tops weather than the capris and tee-shirts weather it looked like we were going to have, temperature-wise.

That being said, is there really the possibility of rain every day?? I know that fronts can last awhile, one blew in during our last trip and it was rainy from about 9am - 1pm, then it became beautiful. But what about the pop-up rain showers and t'storms??

Between this site and a few others, there looks to be a significant chance of some serious rain events throughout our trip. (We don't go home 'til the 1st)

Are we looking at a much wetter 10 days than normal, do you think?? Or are fall rains still as quick as summer ones??

I'm thinking our ponchos are going to get more use than just for wet rides...

[Strmchsr]

That being said, is there really the possibility of rain every day?? I know that fronts can last awhile, one blew in during our last trip and it was rainy from about 9am - 1pm, then it became beautiful. But what about the pop-up rain showers and t'storms??

The "pop up" variety showers are still the quick type, just like in the summer. Yes, there's a chance every day, but I really think the chance is pretty slim. 20% tops. So, I wouldn't worry too much about those. The big concern is the fronts. They are generally 1 day things, and this afternoon the models showed them not making it through at all. If that's the case then you'll see warmer, drier weather. If one does make it, though, that changes the temp forecast in a hurry and right now the models are all over the place, so I can't really say which way it'll go for the moment. Hopefully soon.