Strmchsr
09-01-2013, 04:08 PM
I'll update this first post each day with the forecast (though I'll occasionally miss a day), both long and short term. As a general rule, up to 7 days is a pretty accurate forecast, beyond that it's educated guessing and largely dependent upon how well the models are doing at that moment, which is why I call it "voodooland." If you have any specific weather questions or comments, even if it's for an area other than WDW, please post and I'll answer throughout the thread. I'll also post weather tidbits every so often. If you want to see the exact conditions for your travel dates over the last few years, go to our historic weather page in Info Central here (http://www.intercot.com/infocentral/weather/dailytemps.asp). Without further delay, let's get to the forecast:
Weather at WDW - Update Monday pm, September 30, 2013
Today looks pretty nice with a high 87-88. Tomorrow should be 86-88 with a 40% chance of a brief shower. Wednesday looks 87-89 with a 20% chance of a shower. We have some model madness going on after Wednesday. The 06z models were pretty consistently showing a tropical wave moving near Florida and flooding the peninsula with tropical moisture bringing periods of showers and thunderstorms for Thursday through Sunday. However, the 12z models have shifted the wave further west and suddenly the weekend looks much drier (which makes me happy since I'm planning on going to MNSSHP Sunday night!:jack:) Thursday still looks like there's a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms with a high 85-87. Friday through Sunday there's only a 35% chance of hit and miss showers, no consistent rain, with highs running 87-89. Monday should be 86-88 with a 40% chance of rain moving in during the afternoon with a front.
Long range...Oct 8-16 doesn't show any major rain events. Just hit and miss afternoon thunderstorms. Highs look to mostly stay in the mid 80s with some low 80s possible.
Travel Impact :plane: :truck: :drive:
No major problems today or tomorrow.
Any of you who are nervous about flying, especially related to turbulence, go here (http://www.sfgate.com/travel/article/Turbulent-air-travel-nothing-to-fear-4058671.php) and here (http://www.askcaptainlim.com/-fear-of-flying-flying-48.html) to learn a lot about turbulence and other issues that sometimes cause anxiety when flying. Hopefully all of this will help you relax and enjoy the trip to WDW more!
Tropics :fan:
Tropical Storm Jerry is now on the board over the Central Atlantic; it will basically loop around this week and will remain far from land.
A wave in the Caribbean is being watched; this one, most likely, will move across the Yucatan and into the Bay of Campeche this week. If something does form there, and that's looking less likely, odds are high it moves into Mexico, south of Brownsville, Texas, like other systems this season. Looks like it won't be an issue for WDW like we had feared this weekend. Even without a potential tropical storm or depression WDW may face some very heavy rain towards the end of the week.
Weather at WDW - Update Monday pm, September 30, 2013
Today looks pretty nice with a high 87-88. Tomorrow should be 86-88 with a 40% chance of a brief shower. Wednesday looks 87-89 with a 20% chance of a shower. We have some model madness going on after Wednesday. The 06z models were pretty consistently showing a tropical wave moving near Florida and flooding the peninsula with tropical moisture bringing periods of showers and thunderstorms for Thursday through Sunday. However, the 12z models have shifted the wave further west and suddenly the weekend looks much drier (which makes me happy since I'm planning on going to MNSSHP Sunday night!:jack:) Thursday still looks like there's a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms with a high 85-87. Friday through Sunday there's only a 35% chance of hit and miss showers, no consistent rain, with highs running 87-89. Monday should be 86-88 with a 40% chance of rain moving in during the afternoon with a front.
Long range...Oct 8-16 doesn't show any major rain events. Just hit and miss afternoon thunderstorms. Highs look to mostly stay in the mid 80s with some low 80s possible.
Travel Impact :plane: :truck: :drive:
No major problems today or tomorrow.
Any of you who are nervous about flying, especially related to turbulence, go here (http://www.sfgate.com/travel/article/Turbulent-air-travel-nothing-to-fear-4058671.php) and here (http://www.askcaptainlim.com/-fear-of-flying-flying-48.html) to learn a lot about turbulence and other issues that sometimes cause anxiety when flying. Hopefully all of this will help you relax and enjoy the trip to WDW more!
Tropics :fan:
Tropical Storm Jerry is now on the board over the Central Atlantic; it will basically loop around this week and will remain far from land.
A wave in the Caribbean is being watched; this one, most likely, will move across the Yucatan and into the Bay of Campeche this week. If something does form there, and that's looking less likely, odds are high it moves into Mexico, south of Brownsville, Texas, like other systems this season. Looks like it won't be an issue for WDW like we had feared this weekend. Even without a potential tropical storm or depression WDW may face some very heavy rain towards the end of the week.