Strmchsr
05-01-2012, 07:48 AM
I'll update this first post each day with the forecast (though I'll occasionally miss Sundays), both long and short term. As a general rule, up to 7 days is a pretty accurate forecast, beyond that it's educated guessing and largely dependent upon how well the models are doing at that moment, which is why I call it "voodooland." If you have any specific weather questions or comments, even if it's for an area other than WDW, please post and I'll answer throughout the thread. I'll also post weather tidbits every so often. If you want to see the exact conditions for your travel dates over the last few years, go to our historic weather page in Info Central here (http://www.intercot.com/infocentral/weather/dailytemps.asp). Without further delay, let's get to the forecast:
Weather at WDW - Updated Thursday pm, May 31, 2012
The high today should hit 92 with only a slight chance of a brief shower. Tomorrow afternoon through early Saturday morning showers and thunderstorms will be pretty numerous and widespread as a front moves through. It's definitely possible the rain could be gone by park opening on Saturday, but be prepared just in case. The high tomorrow should be 85-87 depending on when the rain arrives. Saturday will be 84-86. The ridge builds back pretty quickly and Sunday through Tuesday will be mostly dry with highs 90-92. There's always that slight risk of an afternoon thunderstorm. Wednesday another front will bring the potential for showers and thunderstorms with the high 88-90. Thursday goes back to around 90 with sea breeze thunderstorms.
Long range...June 8-16 looks pretty normal for early summer. Highs in the mostly low to (occasionally) mid 90s with about a 40% chance of brief afternoon thunderstorm. Interestingly, the GFS has a hurricane in the Gulf on June 16. I'm skeptical enough about voodooland, but especially voodooland hurricanes. However, the GFS was right about Alberto and Beryl in the long run, so we'll see if any consistency develops with this idea.
Travel Impact :plane: :truck: :drive:
At 1:15 pm CDT, only Chicago is dealing with a delay due to low visibility. For tomorrow delays will be possible over GA, FL, SC, NC, VA, WV, MD, DC, DE, eastern PA, NJ, and NYC.
Any of you who are nervous about flying, especially related to turbulence, go here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/E162746321/index.html) and here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/index.html) to learn a lot about turbulence. Those two articles should be very helpful in allowing you to understand turbulence and flight safety when it hits. Hopefully all of this will help you relax and enjoy the trip to WDW more!
Tropics :fan:
Nothing going on. And, as I stated before, just because we've had 2 named storms before the official start to hurricane season does NOT mean you need to expect a higher than normal season. The only 2 previous times in recorded weather history we've had 2 storms before the "official" start saw below normal seasons overall. With El Nino developing looks like this season will be right around normal and could end up below normal.
Weather at WDW - Updated Thursday pm, May 31, 2012
The high today should hit 92 with only a slight chance of a brief shower. Tomorrow afternoon through early Saturday morning showers and thunderstorms will be pretty numerous and widespread as a front moves through. It's definitely possible the rain could be gone by park opening on Saturday, but be prepared just in case. The high tomorrow should be 85-87 depending on when the rain arrives. Saturday will be 84-86. The ridge builds back pretty quickly and Sunday through Tuesday will be mostly dry with highs 90-92. There's always that slight risk of an afternoon thunderstorm. Wednesday another front will bring the potential for showers and thunderstorms with the high 88-90. Thursday goes back to around 90 with sea breeze thunderstorms.
Long range...June 8-16 looks pretty normal for early summer. Highs in the mostly low to (occasionally) mid 90s with about a 40% chance of brief afternoon thunderstorm. Interestingly, the GFS has a hurricane in the Gulf on June 16. I'm skeptical enough about voodooland, but especially voodooland hurricanes. However, the GFS was right about Alberto and Beryl in the long run, so we'll see if any consistency develops with this idea.
Travel Impact :plane: :truck: :drive:
At 1:15 pm CDT, only Chicago is dealing with a delay due to low visibility. For tomorrow delays will be possible over GA, FL, SC, NC, VA, WV, MD, DC, DE, eastern PA, NJ, and NYC.
Any of you who are nervous about flying, especially related to turbulence, go here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/E162746321/index.html) and here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/index.html) to learn a lot about turbulence. Those two articles should be very helpful in allowing you to understand turbulence and flight safety when it hits. Hopefully all of this will help you relax and enjoy the trip to WDW more!
Tropics :fan:
Nothing going on. And, as I stated before, just because we've had 2 named storms before the official start to hurricane season does NOT mean you need to expect a higher than normal season. The only 2 previous times in recorded weather history we've had 2 storms before the "official" start saw below normal seasons overall. With El Nino developing looks like this season will be right around normal and could end up below normal.