Strmchsr
04-01-2012, 01:47 PM
I'll update this first post each day with the forecast (though I'll occasionally miss Sundays), both long and short term. As a general rule, up to 7 days is a pretty accurate forecast, beyond that it's educated guessing and largely dependent upon how well the models are doing at that moment, which is why I call it "voodooland." If you have any specific weather questions or comments, even if it's for an area other than WDW, please post and I'll answer throughout the thread. I'll also post weather tidbits every so often. If you want to see the exact conditions for your travel dates over the last few years, go to our historic weather page in Info Central here (http://www.intercot.com/infocentral/weather/dailytemps.asp). Without further delay, let's get to the forecast:
Weather at WDW - Updated Monday pm, April 30, 2012
The high today will be 87-88 as our string of warm days continues. We have an interesting little feature popping up in the Florida Keys. It looks like a low will develop and bring a lot of rain to south Florida. However, everything I see right now indicates that rain will stay south and west of Orlando. I'll definitely let you know if that changes. I don't see any real rain chance at all through the weekend. Highs will run 86-88 with lows 67-69. A weak front pushes into Florida on Monday. There are some indications it could fire up a few scattered thunderstorms, but that's right at the edge of voodooland, so a little early to say for sure.
Long range...May 8-9 should drop back to the low 80s with the frontal passage. The models are showing a weak front moving through with light, scattered showers on May 10, which will put highs upper 70s to 80 for May 10-11, then a stronger front moves through on May 12 with a few more scattered thunderstorms. None of these days looks like all day rain and, obviously, this is voodooland so there could be no rain at all, but the models are staying pretty consistent with this pattern change by mid-May. May 13-14 should be in the mid to upper 70s then low 80s for May 15-16. If that turns out to be the case, I'll be ecstatic. The last two times I've gone in May we've had low to mid 90s.
Travel Impact :plane: :truck: :drive:
Everything is clear for now, though some thunderstorms could cause problems in the Ohio River Valley tonight. For tomorrow, the best chance for delays will be over MN, WI, and IA.
Any of you who are nervous about flying, especially related to turbulence, go here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/E162746321/index.html) and here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/index.html) to learn a lot about turbulence. Those two articles should be very helpful in allowing you to understand turbulence and flight safety when it hits. Hopefully all of this will help you relax and enjoy the trip to WDW more!
Weather at WDW - Updated Monday pm, April 30, 2012
The high today will be 87-88 as our string of warm days continues. We have an interesting little feature popping up in the Florida Keys. It looks like a low will develop and bring a lot of rain to south Florida. However, everything I see right now indicates that rain will stay south and west of Orlando. I'll definitely let you know if that changes. I don't see any real rain chance at all through the weekend. Highs will run 86-88 with lows 67-69. A weak front pushes into Florida on Monday. There are some indications it could fire up a few scattered thunderstorms, but that's right at the edge of voodooland, so a little early to say for sure.
Long range...May 8-9 should drop back to the low 80s with the frontal passage. The models are showing a weak front moving through with light, scattered showers on May 10, which will put highs upper 70s to 80 for May 10-11, then a stronger front moves through on May 12 with a few more scattered thunderstorms. None of these days looks like all day rain and, obviously, this is voodooland so there could be no rain at all, but the models are staying pretty consistent with this pattern change by mid-May. May 13-14 should be in the mid to upper 70s then low 80s for May 15-16. If that turns out to be the case, I'll be ecstatic. The last two times I've gone in May we've had low to mid 90s.
Travel Impact :plane: :truck: :drive:
Everything is clear for now, though some thunderstorms could cause problems in the Ohio River Valley tonight. For tomorrow, the best chance for delays will be over MN, WI, and IA.
Any of you who are nervous about flying, especially related to turbulence, go here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/E162746321/index.html) and here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/index.html) to learn a lot about turbulence. Those two articles should be very helpful in allowing you to understand turbulence and flight safety when it hits. Hopefully all of this will help you relax and enjoy the trip to WDW more!