Strmchsr
02-01-2012, 02:15 PM
I'll update this first post each day with the forecast (though I'll occasionally miss Sundays), both long and short term. As a general rule, up to 7 days is a pretty accurate forecast, beyond that it's educated guessing and largely dependent upon how well the models are doing at that moment, which is why I call it "voodooland." If you have any specific weather questions or comments, even if it's for an area other than WDW, please post and I'll answer throughout the thread. I'll also post weather tidbits every so often. If you want to see the exact conditions for your travel dates over the last few years, go to our historic weather page in Info Central here (http://www.intercot.com/infocentral/weather/dailytemps.asp). Without further delay, let's get to the forecast:
Weather at WDW - Updated Wednesday pm, February 29, 2012
It's going to feel almost like we skipped spring and went to summer these next few days. Today through Saturday highs will run 84-86, and lows around 65, with a slight chance of a pop up shower in the afternoon. A front will move in on Sunday bringing showers and thunderstorms. Right now it looks like mostly a morning event, but we'll need to give it a couple of more days to get the timing down. The high, with the rain, should be 71-73. Monday will bounce back to 74-76, then Tuesday and Wednesday will be back to around 80 with a slight chance of sea breeze showers. Most of those stay along the coast, but it's always possible one will drift inland.
Long range...March 8 looks dry and in the low 80s. March 9-10 present an interesting scenario. The models all show a front moving southward on those days, but several of the more reliable ones show the front hitting the high and stalling over north Florida. This would mean a lot of rain and thunderstorms for places like Jacksonville and Tallahassee, maybe even Gainesville, but Orlando would stay dry. This is still voodooland so we'll just need to keep an eye on it for the time being. March 11-16 doesn't show any significant rain for WDW with highs staying mostly in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Travel Impact :plane: :truck: :drive:
At noon we have low visibility creating delays in Philadelphia and NYC. The severe weather over KY and TN is the main issue right now and will be the rest of the day. For tomorrow, TN, AR, MO, and MS will be the places to watch for delays.
Any of you who are nervous about flying, especially related to turbulence, go here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/E162746321/index.html) and here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/index.html) to learn a lot about turbulence. Those two articles should be very helpful in allowing you to understand turbulence and flight safety when it hits. Hopefully all of this will help you relax and enjoy the trip to WDW more!
Weather at WDW - Updated Wednesday pm, February 29, 2012
It's going to feel almost like we skipped spring and went to summer these next few days. Today through Saturday highs will run 84-86, and lows around 65, with a slight chance of a pop up shower in the afternoon. A front will move in on Sunday bringing showers and thunderstorms. Right now it looks like mostly a morning event, but we'll need to give it a couple of more days to get the timing down. The high, with the rain, should be 71-73. Monday will bounce back to 74-76, then Tuesday and Wednesday will be back to around 80 with a slight chance of sea breeze showers. Most of those stay along the coast, but it's always possible one will drift inland.
Long range...March 8 looks dry and in the low 80s. March 9-10 present an interesting scenario. The models all show a front moving southward on those days, but several of the more reliable ones show the front hitting the high and stalling over north Florida. This would mean a lot of rain and thunderstorms for places like Jacksonville and Tallahassee, maybe even Gainesville, but Orlando would stay dry. This is still voodooland so we'll just need to keep an eye on it for the time being. March 11-16 doesn't show any significant rain for WDW with highs staying mostly in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Travel Impact :plane: :truck: :drive:
At noon we have low visibility creating delays in Philadelphia and NYC. The severe weather over KY and TN is the main issue right now and will be the rest of the day. For tomorrow, TN, AR, MO, and MS will be the places to watch for delays.
Any of you who are nervous about flying, especially related to turbulence, go here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/E162746321/index.html) and here (http://homepage.mac.com/lesposen/iblog/B80495344/C2128971884/index.html) to learn a lot about turbulence. Those two articles should be very helpful in allowing you to understand turbulence and flight safety when it hits. Hopefully all of this will help you relax and enjoy the trip to WDW more!